Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 81.315036 91.063135 100.983250 111.802398 123.239145 134.940446 147.788690
2025-11-23 64.689149 78.605554 93.370924 110.074884 128.325621 147.551126 169.227372
2025-11-30 56.480805 72.886461 90.820148 111.618642 134.834928 159.739155 188.268070
2025-12-07 50.287178 68.540456 89.029147 113.299038 140.872424 170.883559 205.692630
2025-12-14 43.728275 63.053144 85.330333 112.265759 143.379541 177.698827 217.952215
2025-12-21 37.646535 57.555900 81.135986 110.224535 144.359383 182.480200 227.650221
2025-12-28 35.447334 56.584321 82.112054 114.048322 151.930608 194.589129 245.477138
2026-01-04 32.674251 54.630076 81.697815 116.051460 157.244602 204.014254 260.174950
2026-01-11 29.034945 51.252708 79.297801 115.467358 159.353306 209.622308 270.408277
2026-01-18 25.821400 48.179915 77.076601 114.928117 161.372175 215.011673 280.292581
2026-01-25 23.405566 46.006117 75.855438 115.500348 164.623510 221.761532 291.683229
2026-02-01 20.781468 43.320178 73.808157 114.907145 166.358891 226.647819 300.842549
2026-02-08 18.649563 41.211220 72.445969 115.144193 169.108349 232.766841 311.507785
2026-02-15 16.259190 38.501409 70.129745 114.047985 170.136279 236.783209 319.671790
2026-02-22 14.922771 37.317968 69.826907 115.498947 174.275482 244.485849 332.149559
2026-03-01 13.790689 36.363394 69.778122 117.234671 178.736747 252.554204 345.047315
2026-03-08 11.959485 34.058550 67.691933 116.177220 179.610524 256.233682 352.693164
2026-03-15 10.047035 31.386915 64.928434 114.097254 179.097854 258.159876 358.191972
2026-03-22 9.796365 31.711414 66.574989 117.994689 186.225706 269.421912 374.872419
2026-03-29 9.119409 31.167517 66.883337 120.036075 190.953070 277.734466 388.012787
2026-04-05 7.905131 29.444318 65.321942 119.440854 192.232539 281.776597 395.993332
2026-04-12 6.818880 27.828741 63.839285 118.891331 193.524342 285.800103 403.925713
2026-04-19 6.053955 26.784191 63.192783 119.474473 196.266921 291.602441 413.998402